Believe what your customers do...not what they say!

To keep things simple, this blog has moved to the IMTJ web site. You can find the Health Tourism Blog here in future. Here's an extract of the latest blog post entitled: "Believe what your customers do...not what they say!"

A recent article in Harvard Business Review, “Four Simple Low Resolution Innovation Tests” highlights the problem faced by anyone who is considering investment in the medical tourism business. How can you know whether people will actually buy your service i.e. whether patients will actually travel abroad to use your services?

Much of the “research” conducted in the medical tourism sector is about what people say they will do.... not about what they actually do. For example, the 2009 Gallup Survey in the USA is frequently used to support the “booming medical tourism market” hypothesis.

The report on this Gallup poll was headed “Americans Consider Crossing Borders for Medical Care”. It found that “up to 29% of Americans would consider traveling abroad for medical procedures”.

Now the key words here are “will consider”. It does not say “will travel” or “have travelled”. And there lies the problem.......

.........Read the full article at IMTJ: Go to "Believe what your customers do...not what they say!"

Medical tourism: After the gold rush

To keep things simple, this blog has moved to the IMTJ web site. You can find the Health Tourism Blog here in future. Here's an extract of the latest blog post on "Medical tourism: After the gold rush"

Last year, I blogged about “Medical tourism...lessons from the California gold rush”. It’s taken me a while to write the postscript to this, but I finally got around to it last week when I spoke at the European Medical Travel Conference in Barcelona. (You can download my presentation “Medical Tourism: After the Goldrush” as a pdf file on the IMTJ web site).

In my gold rush analogy, I describe how in 2005/6, medical tourism became the next big thing.

In Google News for 2006, you’ll see headlines appearing like these:

• “One million medical tourists flocking to India”
• “Bumrungrad attracts more than 400,000 foreign patients each year”
• “Philippines is set to cash in on the $3-trillion global medical tourism market”
• “Half a million Britons travel for treatment....”
  

News stories appeared around the world about a surge in medical tourism. The first prospectors for “medical tourism gold” appeared - medical tourism agents and facilitators, overseas hospitals and clinics were seeking their fortune in the world of medical tourism. The tales of medical tourism gold began to multiply. Estimates of the number of medical tourists were in the hundreds of thousands, the millions, and then the tens of millions. Few medical tourism prospectors questioned the validity of these claims of the discovery of a rich vein of income or whether it was sustainable.......

.........Read the full article at IMTJ: Go to "Medical tourism: After the gold rush"

Comparing the costs of (accidental) medical tourism

Whereas much of the attention in the medical travel sector is focused on medical tourism (i.e. where the primary reason for travel is some form of surgery or treatment), a more established and mature market sector is the provision of healthcare services for the tourist or business traveller who falls ill when abroad.

The structure and maturity of this sector means that it is far easier to gather comparative data such as the cost of healthcare and actual treatment in different countries. Cost management is in the hands of the international insurers, the travel insurance companies and the assistance companies who negotiate prices with hospital providers worldwide.A recent analysis of travel insurance claims, published by the UK based travel insurer, Sainsbury’s Travel Insurance, provides an insight into the variation in hospital costs across the world and the rising trend in hospital costs.

According to their analysis:

• In 2009, a record number of people needed medical treatment whilst abroad.
• The most expensive country for inpatient hospital treatment was the United States, with the average hospital visit costing £6,000.
• The average cost of hospital treatment in a foreign country has climbed to £2,040 over the last 12 months, an increase of 6.25% year-on-year.
• The most significant increase in treatment costs were seen in Turkey (+10%), the USA (+10%) and Spain (+7.5%).
• Over the summer months (May to September), the most common reason for hospitalisation was gastroenteritis with the average bill for inpatient treatment amounting to £1,200.
• The most expensive hospital bills were for those who suffered a heart attack abroad, resulting in medical expenses that averaged £12,500.

It’s interesting that the international assistance companies who deal with these "accidental" medical tourists have shown little or no interest in entering the medical tourism business. They have everything in place to become the world’s number one facilitator and blow everyone else out of the market:

• They have a network of “approved” hospitals around the world.
• They facilitate treatment for thousands of international patients in foreign countries every day.
• They have call centres to deal with patient enquiries.
• They have extensive technology and systems to manage the patient process.
• They have people on the ground in major destinations who can provide local support.
• They have comparative data on treatment outcomes and comparative costs in hospitals around the world.

So, why haven’t companies like Europ Assistance, Mondial Assistance and AXA Assistance entered the medical tourism market and used their expertise to attain a dominant market position?

The answer is probably quite simple. The medical tourism market is just not big enough to be attractive to them, nor worth the hassle. Which is good news for the existing operators...but puts the medical tourism market opportunity in perspective compared to the long established international assistance market.

Medical tourism...lessons from the California gold rush

In 1848, gold was discovered in California by John Sutter, a German immigrant. News of the find spread rapidly and thousands arrived in search of their fortune. Prospectors came from across the USA, from Hawaii, Mexico, Chile, Peru and China. The California gold rush had begun. California’s output of gold rose from $5 million in 1848 to $40 million in 1849 and $55 million in 1851. But there wasn’t enough gold to go around....only a minority of gold miners made much money from the Californian Gold Rush...the best equipped, the best informed, the best organised and resourced.

Others also made money; the saloon owners (and brothel keepers!) who kept the prospectors entertained made a healthy profit, and so did the entrepreneurs and store owners who provided the supplies and tools that the prospectors needed (often at exorbitant prices).

Are there some parallels and some lessons here for those involved in the medical tourism gold rush?

The discovery of medical tourism gold....
Although the concept of travelling for treatment has been around for centuries, it was probably around 2005 when the medical tourism gold rush really took off; it still continues today and shows little sign of abating. News stories appeared around the world about a surge in medical tourism – patients travelling to save money on treatment costs (as opposed to seeking medical services and healthcare quality that were unavailable in their own country). The first prospectors appeared - medical tourism agents and facilitators, and overseas hospitals and clinics seeking their fortune in the world of medical tourism.

Word spreads, prospectors pursue the dream of medical tourism gold....
The tales of medical tourism gold began to multiply. Estimates of the number of medical tourists were in the hundreds of thousands, the millions, and then the tens of millions. Few medical tourism prospectors questioned the validity of these claims of the discovery of a rich vein of income or whether it was sustainable.

Those involved in the early gold rush exaggerated their successes, claiming massive finds (e.g. “one million medical tourists to....), encouraging others to join the frenzy. Healthcare providers in countries all over the world entered the race - Singapore, Malaysia, Korea, Jordan, the Philippines, Tunisia, Turkey, Eastern Europe, many of them backed by their tourism boards, health departments and government initiatives who saw medical tourism as a rich source of foreign currency.

....without thinking or understanding what’s really involved
New entrants pursued the dream without really thinking through their strategy and approach to the market. Some went into the market ill equipped; some went into the market without realising what it might cost to be successful; some went looking for medical tourism gold in completely the wrong place!

A community of medical tourism prospectors develops
As the number of medical tourism prospectors grew, others (the saloon keepers) arrived quickly to profit from this growing community, and store owners and tool suppliers appeared to guide the prospectors in their pursuit of gold.

The saloon owners arrived in the form of the associations and medical tourism conferences that make their money from membership fees and delegate fees. They provided a place where the prospectors could get together, but they also built on the hype, retelling stories of the latest discoveries and attracting more people to the medical tourism gold rush. Of course, the more people in the gold rush, the more people there are in the saloon, and the more money there is to be made by the saloon owner.

The entrepreneurs and store owners also arrived on the scene to provide the tools that the prospectors needed to mine medical tourism gold. Web sites like our own (Treatment Abroad) that link patients with providers, systems companies like Health Travel Technologies and e-Medsol that provide the systems to manage patients, and consultancies, strategists and advisers like Irving Stackpole and Vivek Shukla who help the prospectors to locate medical tourism gold came into being. Are these entrepreneurs and store owners (including my own Treatment Abroad "store") taking advantage of uninformed prospectors by providing poor quality services and products and overcharging for them. Or are they providing sensibly priced services and much needed tools that will bring long term success to those who use them wisely? Only time will tell.... and it will be the success of the prospectors who determine our success.

The gold runs out...or is harder to find and mine
As in the California gold rush, reality has failed to live up to expectations for many prospectors. Clinics, hospitals and facilitators are finding it harder to acquire patients and there’s a great deal of competition out there. Nevertheless, for many the gold rush mentality continues.

After the gold rush?
So, what’s the likely outcome of all this? What can we expect in the next stage of the medical tourism gold rush? In my next blog post, I’ll give some thought to who will strike gold and how will the industry develop.

The challenge facing the medical tourism industry

The recent European Congress on Health Tourism in Budapest reflected some of the current issues and challenges facing the medical tourism industry, particularly those presented by a world recession. Budapest is Europe's dental tourism hub, attracting patients from countries such as the UK, Ireland, Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Scandinavia. If the recession is hitting medical tourism, then Budapest is going to feel it more than most.

There were workshops and presentations from various providers and industry players at the Budapest Congress. One of the more down to earth of these presentations was made by Dr Bela Batorfi of The Batorfi Dental Implant Clinic in Budapest. This impressive clinic usually carries out around 1,800 dental implants per year. But with the onset of the global financial crisis they have seen some worrying trends:

• The number of patients from abroad has fallen by around 30%. Medical tourists are harder to find!
• The average spend per patient has decreased from around £5,000 to £2,600. Medical tourists are spending less per visit.
• The average age of patients has increased. Medical tourists are delaying treatment.

The experience of the The Batorfi Dental Implant Clinic is reflected among many of the other dental treatment providers in Budapest. It's not the case that Budapest is losing patients and market share to other destinations. Understandably, many clinics are concerned about the fall off in business and how long it will continue.

Against the backdrop of the financial crisis, Hungary is one of the many countries planning a "medical city" aiming to attract patients from across the world to a centre of medical excellence. According to Balázs Stumpf-Biró, Executive Director of the European Medical Tourism Alliance (EuMTA), Hungary is planning to establish 100 hectares of land near Budapest’s international airport as a health complex, similar to Dubai Healthcare City.

Whether this development suffers the same fate as Dubai Healthcare City remains to be seen. The initial building boom in Dubai has come to a grinding halt. Building anything in the current financial environment is a risky business, and with the medical travel market to Hungary down around 20% to 30%, it's going to be a brave investor who lays the first brick.

Various estimates of medical travel numbers for Hungary put the number of incoming medical tourists at around 300,000 to 350,000 per annum. The vast majority of these are for dental treatment, and many may be "short trip/low cost" cross border visitors from Germany and Austria. But that's still a valuable market.

So what's the long term outlook for medical tourism destinations such as Hungary? Better than most, I would suggest. The medical travel market is here to stay and is here for the long term. Hungary has been at the forefront of medical travel in Europe for the last decade and it can retain that position.

But like most countries being encouraged down the medical tourism route it needs to tread carefully. We hear the usual overblown claims by industry proponents such as the Medical Tourism Association that "the biggest potential market for Hungary is the USA". I can just see hundreds of thousands of Americans getting out their maps of Europe, locating Budapest and booking their long distance flight via New York/London/Amsterdam for their dental implants. It isn't going to happen.

So where should Hungary be focusing its efforts?

Well... :

• There's a population of 550 million in the "United States of Europe" who may begin to exploit the opportunities within the EU Directive on patient mobility.
• Not so far away from Hungary, there are 140 million Russians who are beginning to spend their money on holidays all over Europe. Medical travel will follow this trend.
• And the UK dental problem is here to stay. See this recent article in the Independent: This may hurt a little: Rise in hospital admissions for last-ditch tooth extractions

My advice to Hungary... The same as you would get from business guru, Tom Peters (In Search of Excellence).

Stick to the knitting - stay with the business that you know!